You may quibble with some of the Binazirs assumptions above. whump prompts generator > mecklenburg county, va indictments 2021 > dr ali binazir odds of being born. Let's not get carried away here; we'll just deal with the human lineage. So I got curious: Are either of these estimates correct? That's a pretty straightforward calculation. dr ali binazir odds of being born - thlf.us And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. dr ali binazir odds of being born. dr ali binazir odds of being born - simssuccessgroup.com He used a thought experiment to illustrate this that became known popularly as the infinite monkey theorem; this states that if an infinite number of monkeys pound the keys of an infinite number of typewriters they will eventually write the complete works of Shakespeare. It seems like wasting our precious lives on self pity or addiction is even less attractive, in this light. So the combined probability is already around 1 in 40 million long but not insurmountable odds. Well surely reply you within 48 hours. To complete the analysis: (102,640,000) (1045,000) (40,000,000) = 4 x 102,685,007 102,685,000. Gather your loved ones around and give props to your incredibly resilient and badass survivor ancestors, while you explode your gender revel confetti poppers. Not quite ready yet To become their Destiny, it pushed them close, drove them apart, it barred their path,stifling a laugh,and then leaped aside. Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. The first single-cell organism emerging from an inanimate chemical soup is not something that could have happened by chance. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? If you need to flag this entry as abusive. On my birthday, I had a strangely pertinent thought: what's the probability of being born? So I got curious: are either of these numbers correct? I have over 2,000 posts here & my recovery related blogs are all under the RecovHer category at the top. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? One in 2,000. Dr. Binazir calculated that the odds against each of us being born produced a number that makes the brain hurt. Thats a number so huge it hurts to think about it. So far, so good. Multply the volume of New Jerusalem by 77. Which ones bigger? And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. This is the probability of you being born at the time you were born to your particular parents, with your particular genetic make-up. A lovely day to you. The Cycle of Hatred and Revenge Ends With Me A Homily for the 7th Sunday of the Year. To illustrate how precious each human being is, self-help author Mel Robbins said during a 2011 Ted Talk that the likelihood of you being born as you has been calculated at about one in 400 trillion. I am only publishing a small number of his musings, but you can read his full article here: What Are the Chances of You Being Born?. Do you know the odds of being alive? Or, the total number of seconds that have elapsed since the Big Bang is 10x 16 th power. But now, as long as I'm musing about insane probabilities, I thought I'd delve a little into the odds of us even being born and what that took! Fortunes were lost as players bet huge amounts on red in the erroneous belief that the law of probabilities dictated the ball would not drop on black again. I have one baby so far, but Im still fertile, according to science. The odds of red or black are 50:50 with each spin of the wheel. Hello there! Scripture says. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. We were not born by accident given the odds calculated by scientists showing the odds of you being born are at least 1 in 400 trillion IF NOT 1 in 400 quadrillion and most likely 1 in 10.2,640,000. In a recent talk at TEDx San Francisco, Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author, mentioned that scientists estimate the probability of your being born at about one in 400 trillion. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis; you are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. Something was dropped and then picked up. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. So he gave us an analogy that helps: "It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting togetherabout the population of San Diegoeach to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. You asked for more Brain Yoga, so here are the upcoming classes. Dr. Ali Binazir - Author - San Francisco, CA | YourTango Experts Are You a Miracle? This is also true of their parents, and so on till the beginning of time. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: 1 in 2000. He attended the Ted Talk and wrote about it afterward, doing his own calculations on how likely your existence is. For perspective on the size of those numbers, there are only 10x 80 elementary particles in the observable universe.). It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together -- about the population of San Diego -- each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Having said that, Monsignor Popes reflection should spur us to consider that while the Mind of God could think of a nearly infinite number of souls to create, he chose to create you and I. Same to all of us. Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at Harvard, received a medical degree from the University of California, and studied philosophy at Cambridge University. Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: one in 10. Well then, that would be one in 2150,000 , which is about 1 in 1045,000 a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. Dr. Ali Binazir, Happiness Engineer | Modern Science and Ancient Wisdom Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: one in 2000. Scientists have calculated the odds of a human being born as at least 1 in 400 trillion. So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. They look like this , or this, and have to be avoided at all costs. To say that someone or something is contingent is to say that the existence of same is not inevitable but rather can only come about based on a number of previous things being true in a chain of being or causality. Rich E Cunningham from Ontario, Canada on May 14, 2020: Interesting article, guess we are lucky to be here! However, your existence presupposes another supremely unlikely chain of events. Wowser. By entering your email and clicking Sign Up, you're agreeing to let us send you customized marketing messages about us and our advertising partners. 2023 The Arena Media Brands, LLC and respective content providers on this website. He says its similar to the probability of a turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere random in the oceans on Earth. You have lived your life. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. We're about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. Its the probability of 2 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Yes, youre here all right, and math can barely account for your existence, so tiny are the odds; but God has overseen every detail and knew you long before you were born. They each roll the dice -- and they all come up the exact same number -- say, 550,343,279,001. The chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is 1 in 2. The moon is about 240,000 miles from the Earth. The answer, if my math is right, (assuming a mass of the moon of 7.34 x 10^22 kg), is about 7.34 x 10^34 years. There were doorknobs and doorbells where one touch had covered another beforehand. In it, she mentioned that scientists calculate the probability of your existing as you, today, at about one in 400 trillion (410 14). Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: one in 2000. Not only has He always known us; he has known everything each of us would do, for every one of our days has been written in His book before one of them ever came to be. Opportunity - livebendy.com Thats a pretty big number, I thought to myself. 2023 BuzzFeed, Inc. All rights reserved. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. The Art of Female Orgasm: Tue 21 June teleseminar with Nicole Daedone, Dating App-ocalypse: 10 Reasons to Delete Your Dating Apps Right Now, How can I best serve you? Borel's Law of Probability - Owlcation Seriously, look around, look up to the sky, take this all in. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. You Shouldn't Be Alive. The Odds of You Existing Are Basically | by It turns out that when taking into account the astonishing number of possibilities of parents meeting, grandparents meeting before them, and so on going back generations, and then adding the vast number of sperm and ova in possible combinations over decades of the marital act in all those generations, the odds of me existing just as I do are about 1 in 10. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in two. If you need to flag this entry as abusive. Multiplying it all together for the sake of completeness (Step 1 x Step 2 x Step 3 x Step 4): Probability of your being born: one in 10. The RecovHer Freedom Breakthrough Course- Work With Me. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. The chances that they would then get knocked up? "That's a pretty big number," I thought to myself. So now we must account for that for 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000th power: Thats a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes of a book the size of mine with zeroes. Are they gross exaggerations? Still, the racial wealth gap continues: Only 11 of them are black. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. I would call that a personal relationship with God. First, let's talk about the probability of your parents meeting. Me neither. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean, with exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. Awe and wonderment at merely being alive on even a bad or boring day makes perfect sense. Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 -- one in two. But its not even remotely comparable with 10^2,685,000. The chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is about 1 in 10. Or stalk me (with love.). Perhaps three years ago or just last Tuesday a certain leaf fluttered from one shoulder to another? You are wonderfully and fearfully made, and God has done a marvelous thing. Mirabile visu (Wondrous to behold)! Or is it possible that they are underestimates of the true number? Yes, it is clear the 'opportunity' of born is complete chance and luck. For the sake of completeness: (102,640,000)(1045,000)(2000)(20,000) = 4x 102,685,007 102,685,000, Probability of your existing at all: 1 in 102,685,000. For the curious, that is expressed as one in 100,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000. Or could they be underestimates of the true number? And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. Thats going to take a LONG time. Now take whats left and live it properly. Marcus Aurelius. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. By that definition, Ive just shown that you are a miracle, he wrote. In a 2011 HuffPost article, he set about calculating the likelihood of each of us being born. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about 1 in 2000. The following analysis, paraphrased at some points, is taken directly from Mr. Binazirs article: The probability of father meeting mother is 1 in 20,000. Step 3. Binazir concludes that the odds of you being alive are . The chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is about . Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age -- going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. enough to delve into higher mathematics discover there are many tripwires ahead of them. Yet here we are. Which one's bigger? If the first shot fall into the black hole, it remains only the red, and not green or blue. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about one in 2000. So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is one in 400 quadrillion. Why? The only know outcome is that you were born to your particular parents. Multiplying it all together for the sake of completeness (Step 1 x Step 2 x Step 3 x Step 4): Probability of your being born: one in 10. He concluded that the chances of a turtle sticking its head out in the middle of the life preserver was about one in 700 trillion. Its not cheesy to be grateful to be alive, if you look at the facts, it should be normal. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean, with exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. The even better news is that the first one on Tue June 16, which is the Special Session on Joy, is free Continue reading "Brain Yoga: New Sessions" This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean and there is exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. Id gladly take those odds over trying to become a millionaire in any other country. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? If this writer can grasp the concept then any one of those infinite monkeys can. Essentially, what Borel said was that any event with a honking big (a technical term used by mathematicians) level of improbability would never happen. Onward to freedom! Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. dr ali binazir odds of being born - c-vineretirement.com Thats just the observable Universe; we havent the faintest idea what is beyond what we can detect with our instruments. The odds of you being born as you are about 1 in 400 trillion, or more. saving. Let's confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10th of the world's population 20 years go (1/10th of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. Lets say a life preservers hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside, which we will conveniently round to 0.5 square meters. No one else has had a soul like mine, no one will have a soul like it. This includes personalizing content and advertising. On one try.. Are You a Miracle? On the Probability of Your Being Born Or could they be underestimates of the true number? Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis. It turns out that when taking into account the astonishing number of possibilities of parents meeting, grandparents meeting before them, and so on going back generations, and then adding the vast number of sperm and ova in possible combinations over decades of the marital act in all those generations, the odds of me existing just as I do are about 1 in 102,685,000. So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is one in 400 quadrillion. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? The number of atoms in the known universe is estimated at 1080. One of my brothers made his own calculation regarding one of Binazirs assumptions and came up with a figure that would make the probability of existence even smaller: My numbers are more simplistic, but assuming 100,000 eggs/woman & 12 trillion sperm/man creates 1.2 x 10^18 combinations for every man/woman pairing (i.e., significantly more combinations than the 400 trillion or 4 x 10^14 mentioned in the article). They each roll the dice and they all come up with the exact same numberfor example, 550,343,279,001., A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. As a comparison, the approximate number of atoms in the known universe is 10. Were all winners in life without doing anything! Heres a thought experiment to help illustrate the unbelievably huge size of these numbers. Astronomers estimate that there are at least 100 billion galaxies in the observable Universe. Heres Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of a human being born: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Step 2. Lets say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause dont count. Those who are brave (foolish?) You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. Step 1. The odds of you existing have been calculated by Dr. Ali Binazir. You can start the series by clicking HERE. Its like winning a free ticket to the the best party in the world. Because were about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible. You are, He Will Come Like a Thief to Take Back What Is His, Flee to the Truth When Tempted A Homily for the First Sunday of Lent, Ash Wednesday Breaks All the Rules of Modern Churchthink. Why? So I got curious: Are either of these estimates correct? This is also true of your grandparents parents, and their grandparents, and so on till the beginning of time. They each roll the diceand they all come up the exact same numbersay, 550,343,279,001. This is a vastly greater improbability than one in 1050. Let's say a life preserver's hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside about 0.5 square meter. Learn more here: Dr. Ali Binazir's Article on Probability of Being Born Even with the lowest statistic of 1 in 400 trillion, you would have a better chance of winning over $100 million. dr ali binazir odds of being born - mashroubs.com First, lets talk about the probability of your parents meeting. So to the second question: how accurate is this number? It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together -- about the population of San Diego -- each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe -- it's larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. But on all probability it would. To be more specific, its probably 1 in 102,640,000. The conclusion: The odds that you exist at all are basically zero., He illustrates it this way: It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. Now lets say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. was alerted to a fascinating article by Ali Binazir, who sets forth mathematically the probably that each of us exists. In fact, He has been preparing a place for each of us in the kingdom, from before the creation of the world. As you aptly point out, many persons losts lots of money at the roulette because they quests mathematically accurate. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis. So, it seems fair to say that there are an infinite number of possibilities of any event happening not matter how remote the chance. If I had 400 trillion pennies, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. The good news is that the fee is only $10 per class 10-20x cheaper than therapy, and probably more effective. 530 Lovett Blvd, Houston, TX 77006 +1 (713) 942-9600; pricing strategy of samsung mobile phones. The learned Frenchman put a number on it10 to the power of 50, written as 1050in order to impress upon the common herd that its members are not mathematicians. Consider some of the contingencies and requirements for your existence as set forth by Mr. Binazir. Probability is a pure odd. Now things start getting interesting. If you shouldnt even be here, then what is the point of worrying? Now things start getting interesting. The chances of them talking to one another is 1 in 10. I was alerted to a fascinating article by Ali Binazir, who sets forth mathematically the probably that each of us exists. The odds of being murdered are relatively low when compared to other possible causes of death. I recently got to wondering: What are the chances that my son was born? Dr. Ali Binazir, who describes himself as a happiness engineer, thinks its way off the mark. Step 1. Ensure you visit this website and get the right details and names that fits your babies. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? The right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents; otherwise theyd be different people and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. So now we must account for those 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000 power: That's a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes the size of my book. Its so unlikely, its almost impossible that youre here and taking a breath right now. If you assume the current population is 1% of the history of humanity, the total number of combinations increases to 1.1 x 10^39. His reasoning being that each person experiences an event of some sort every second. Dr. Ali Binazir - Something To Prove What Does Jesus Mean When He Says We Must Be Salted with Fire. To say that we are contingent beings is a vast understatement. In 1913, at the roulette wheel at the Casino de Monte-Carlo, the ball dropped into a black slot 26 times in succession. Are they gross exaggerations? Let's confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10th of the world's population 20 years go (1/10th of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. That probability is low but the presence of super-novae throughout the cosmos is not. Binazir recounted this Buddhist analogy: Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean and there is exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. In it, she mentioned that scientists calculate the probability of your existing as you, today, at about one in 400 trillion (41014). How do you deal with a confirmed bachelor?, 9 Reasons Why Men Lose Interest and What You Can Do About It. I met a couple of interesting people at a casual meet-up and the topic of the day was a good life. Maybe that one would have been better. He looked at the odds of your parents meeting, given how many men and women there are on Earth and how many people of the opposite sex your mother and father would have met in their first 25 years of life. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: 1 in 2000. As Borel pointed out such an event was so improbable as to be impossible. Fortunately, just such a person is poised at the keyboard right now, so lets get started. The odds of becoming a millionaire in America are between 6.4% to 22.3% according to data from the Federal Reserve Boards Survey of Consumer Finances. Anything with a lower probability than that would not happen, said Borel the numbers man.
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